Saturday, June 15, 2013

IRAN AFTER AHMEDI NEJAD - WILL THE NEW COMER WOULD COME TO TERMS WITH US?


Iran went to polls amidst unprecedented security covers for the election of new President in the place of Ahmedi Nejad, the outgoing President after four years of rule, ie from 2009, is bowing out of office paving the way for the incoming President. Mr. Nejad was in the saddle for the second time. His relationship with Iranian Religious Supremo Ayatollah Ali Khomeni, though rosy in the beginning later turned sour on a slew of issues. His nominee and close relative must have been disqualified from contesting the elections by the Guardian Council which comes under the direct control of Ayatollah Ali Khomeni, the religious Supremo could be linked with this bitter relationship.
In the elections held on Friday a huge chunk of electorate marched to the polling booths to elect the new President. Almost 50 million exercised their franchise which is reported by media agencies. In an election contested by six candidate except one, who is a centrist and who does have the generous support of reformists like Muhammad Khatamei and Ali Akbar Rafsanjani. The other five candidates are conservative owing allegiance to the religious Supremo especially Ali Akbar  Velayati and Sayed Jalili who was incidentally Iran’s top nuclear negotiator with the P5 + 1 nations.
US is maintaining a close watch on the situation developing in the backdrop of elections for a new President in Iran. Iran which remained defiant on the issue of nuclear enrichment during Ahmedi Nejad’s rule is unlikely to soften its stance on the latter issue, despite biting sanctions slapped upon it by the US led P5 + 1 nations.
US’s apprehension of Iran manufacturing nuclear weapons may not die down or disappear after Ahmedi Nejad. Decades of enmity, to be specific, since 1979 revolution Iran is likely to continue unabated as long as a pro-Western dispensation is poised to rule the country. With the coming to an end of Sha Muhammed Reza Pahlavi who was a dictator as well as a US lackey, Iran is unlikely to be under a pro-US regime.
So be it. If any of the contestants on Friday’s elections fail to win 50 percent margin in the first round of counting a second round will have to be held on June 21, 2013. Of late the Reformist backed centric Hassan Raouhani has been decalred the winner thus avoiding a run-off on June 21.
TURKISH TURMOIL
While this is election time in Iran, Turkey witnesses another grim scenario. Recep Tayyip Erdogan who came to power on a popular wave is struggling hard to suppress a turmoil raging across the country ever since he emerged as the third President in a row, turned to Islamisation of Turkey.
The man who since 2003 after winning three consecutive wins, of late, has bared out dictatorial tendencies. In the beginning his economic reforms gave the country a face-lift which brought him laurels from across the masses and nations the world over showed signs of decline with him turning to be an incorrigible Islamist which includes banning of alcohol, citizens kissing in public and curtailing the rights of women confining them to the four walls of their homes.
His measures opened a can of worms resulting in months long rebellion which the people term Turkish Spring.
Their claim of Turkish Spring has been castigated by Mr.Erdogan by declaring that spring had already bloomed and what Turkey witnesses is nothing but a rebellion to oust him from power or to force him mend his ways.
As Lord Acton said, “power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely”.
Turkey now bears testimony to this dictum.     

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