Sunday, October 31, 2010

POWER TUSSLE IN BJP

Delhi though seems to be faraway from the reach of BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) is not that farway, isn't that so? Is 2014 that faraway, no, it is not that faraway since time is fast running out like an inundated river.
Be that as it may, going by the trends the power-struggle in the Conservative Party appears to have started. By 2014, L.K.Advani, the revered leader of BJP surely is poised to pave the way for the generation second leaders, or he will be forced to, umpteen of them waiting to be in the wings. Hence a power-struggle for the topmost post of the nation is a virtual possibility.
In the subsequent churning process who will emerge winner is anybodies guess.
It seems Nitin Gadkari while taking up the mantle of President of the Party from Rajnath Singh many leaders in the party as well as a section of the media, political commentators, columnists, all thought on the lines of the Party at last was blessed with a powerful leader, a 'no-nonsense' man as he was picked up by the elders, The Sangh Parivar at Nagpur. But no, in the subsequent days, he couldn't come up to expectations of the Party hierarchy and still he seems to be a mediocre President just like Rajnath Singh about whom nothing is heard of these days.
Anyhow BJP is in the process of widening its network across the nation with the help of its allies like Janata Dal(U) and is on the hunt for new allies. Whether it would be able to cobble together an alliance of other parties which departed from its umbrealla one by one depends on the performance of UPA II alliance, now at the top echelons of power. The time is not ripe to hazard a guess at the moment but one thing is for sure, the UPA I government did something for those at the lower strata of the society, not because its sympathy or compassion but due to constant pressure and arm-twisting of the leftist alliance which at that time was a powerful force to reckon with.
In the run-up to the General election in 2004, unfortunately first due to the schisms developed in the leftist alliance, second due to the opportunist politics played by certain parties like the Samajwadi Party of Mulayam Singh and Co., leftists got isolated, advantage UPA.
On the issue of passage of Civil-Nuclear Liability Bill in Parliament, opportunist parties till then proclaimed enemies of UPA and friendly with Leftists were roped in by the UPA I leaders allegedly through horse-trading. Thus leftist support to UPA I left redundant and with the outside support extended by Samajwadi Party, Shibu Soren's JMM (Janata Mukti Morcha) alliance helped ManMohanji to materialise the passage of the controversial bill. By this time Left parties had withdrawn support to the ManMohan Singh that in no way affected the stability of his govt.
General Elections came, all parties jumped into the fray, the tide turned in favour of UPA II alliance relegating the BJP to the second place and Leftist alliance biting dust. Both in Kerala and Bengal, two power bastions of Left parties nearly wiped out and after that for them everything turned worse both in Bengal and Kerala. The civic-local elections in Bengal and the recently held local polls in Kerala all handed down a certain defeat to them, their future in fast approaching Assembly elections a sure defeat in the absence of a miracle.
Come to the power-struggle in BJP. Of late, the tussle for the top-most position seems to be between Narendra Modi, Chief Minister, Gujarat, and Sushma Swaraj, Leader of the Opposition in Lok Sabha. Both eye the topmost position in Delhi is an open secret and as a powerful Administrator of Gujarat - agree he could change the face of Gujarat for better but the stains of 2001 Gujarat Massacre still remians a dark spot on this person and the source of the massacred thousands haunting him throughout.
Sushma Swaraj was recently reported to have made a comment on Modi's performance in Gujarat and added that his magic need not work elsewhere, a sure sign of the tussle between the two. Though she reportedly denied statement and that she is still on good terms with him and that she had rung him up and congratulated him for having won the Civic-Local elections held there, no one seems to have taken her denial that seriously. Nitin Gadkari, on approached by the media stepped aside without passig any comments and Nirmala Seetha Raman Party spokesperson too following.
Anyhow this is a pointer to shape of things to come and a number of second generation leaders eyeing the topmost post waiting in the wings, at present the situation is quite fluid, to say the least.

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